Cosmic timeline: the maths
Mostly published data: each event's date is taken from the literature, not computed here. One curve is computed: the measured rate of star birth over cosmic time.
Equations
- ψ(z) ∝ (1 + z)2.7 / [1 + ((1 + z)/2.9)5.6]
- The cosmic star-formation rate against redshift z — Madau & Dickinson's fit to the measurements.
- t(z) = ∫ da / (a H(a)), a = 1/(1 + z)
- Turning redshift into time since the Big Bang, with the same ΛCDM universe as the other labs.
Constants
| Ωm, ΩΛ | 0.315, 0.685 | Planck (2020) |
| H₀ | 67.4 km/s/Mpc | Planck (2020) |
Worked examples ✓ checked on every change
| When star birth peaked ('cosmic noon') | 3.5 billion years after the Big Bang | the fit's peak, turned into time independently |
| Today's rate, as a share of the peak | 11% | roughly a tenth |
What's simplified
- Event dates are rounded; the far future is extrapolated from today's physics (Adams & Laughlin 1997) and tagged by how sure it is.
Where it breaks
Early events (before about a second) and the far future carry the tags CONTESTED or SPECULATIVE — each event says which.
Sources: P. Madau & M. Dickinson, ARA&A 52, 415 (2014); Planck Collaboration (2020); F. C. Adams & G. Laughlin, Rev. Mod. Phys. 69, 337 (1997).